apollo
Junior Member
Posts: 1,731
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Post by apollo on Oct 22, 2024 7:42:43 GMT
I guess Putin needed some more money
Russian Oligarch Found Dead in Moscow after Falling Out of Window https://www.reddit.com/r/worldnews/comments/1g8n5zj/russian_oligarch_found_dead_in_moscow_after/
Russia really needs some window safety as it happens a lot
even falling out of ground floor window with 18 bullets in the chest and head is considered accident in Russia
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X201
Full Member
Posts: 5,136
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Post by X201 on Oct 22, 2024 15:51:09 GMT
Even the writers of Quincy would struggle to stretch it to 50 minutes.
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Post by MolarAm🔵 on Oct 23, 2024 11:33:41 GMT
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cubby
Full Member
doesn't get subtext
Posts: 6,394
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Post by cubby on Oct 23, 2024 12:30:28 GMT
They're sending only the best then.
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Post by jeepers on Oct 23, 2024 13:52:12 GMT
Last photo is of Elon Musk at his paintball club.
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rftp
New Member
Posts: 746
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Post by rftp on Oct 23, 2024 14:01:20 GMT
Wow, that might appeal to some of those lads rioting over Southport, too. We should let them know.
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Post by skalpadda on Oct 25, 2024 14:21:13 GMT
The rate was hiked to 21% today.
There was a Russian Central Bank forecast earlier this year with a baseline scenario that would see inflation drop below 5% in 2025, but that assumed the military budget would shrink and inflation fall to ~7% by the end of this year. Instead they passed a state budget that increased military spending to 30% of total state expenditure with an additional 10% on security. Inflation is still at 8,5%.
Not that I think this will affect the war or change any Russian policies, their deficit is still pretty low and an authoritarian society doesn't play by the same rules anyway, but they're really screwing their civilian sector to keep it going.
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nexus6
Junior Member
Posts: 2,532
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Post by nexus6 on Oct 25, 2024 23:38:54 GMT
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Post by Whizzo on Oct 25, 2024 23:56:42 GMT
More ping ponging retaliatory strikes, I'm sure this will end well.
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Post by simple on Oct 26, 2024 10:17:53 GMT
Sounds like Iran are gearing up to retaliate now.
Netanyahu’s plan to isolate Israel from most of its allies while starting wars with most neighbours feels like it should be untenable but as long as no one goes nuclear it’ll probably just result in years of attritional misery for civilians in the region.
I know Israel has the US on its side but I wonder what the limits are for them if a multi-front ground war when its no longer just a question of air supremacy.
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Post by knighty on Oct 26, 2024 10:53:31 GMT
I was under the impression Iran were likely to hold off retaliating in kind? Certainly seemed to be the way I read the BBC take on it.
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Post by MolarAm🔵 on Oct 26, 2024 11:01:02 GMT
I don't think the Iranian leadership is completely insane, so I'm sceptical that they're going to try anything too drastic.
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richardiox
Junior Member
Semi proficient
Posts: 1,658
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Post by richardiox on Oct 26, 2024 11:20:03 GMT
I don't think the Iranian leadership is completely insane, so I'm sceptical that they're going to try anything too drastic. I dunno, wasn't it only a couple of months ago they launched a salvo of multiple hundreds of drones and ballistic missiles at Tel Aviv and Israeli military sites and airfields, many of which hit their target?
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Post by Whizzo on Oct 26, 2024 11:48:14 GMT
The last Iranian strike was at the beginning of this month, which was retaliation for Lebanon and the cycle continues...
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Post by skalpadda on Oct 26, 2024 11:53:58 GMT
They've also been the ones declaring they've "made their point" and stopped tit-for-tatting in the past. I sure hope *someone* does, because an all-out war with Iran would be a catastrophe for absolutely everyone.
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zephro
Junior Member
Posts: 3,010
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Post by zephro on Oct 26, 2024 12:26:14 GMT
I'm not sure this would lead to WW3. Russia, China and the US seem more likely to just cut out rather than escalate themselves.
Ukraine actually directly involving Russia and with China supporting them still feels like the bigger existential risk. If Russia becomes really destabilised somehow.
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Post by Whizzo on Oct 26, 2024 12:36:52 GMT
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Post by Bill in the rain on Oct 26, 2024 12:52:32 GMT
If Iran gets dragged into a battle with Israel, that's probably going to cause problems for Russia, since they seem to be getting most of their military equipment from Iran and NK these days.
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zephro
Junior Member
Posts: 3,010
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Post by zephro on Oct 26, 2024 20:21:55 GMT
I've read various books on the slow fall in to WW1 which is probably most illustrative. WW2 is weird in the sense that someone was gunning for it.
The constituent parts are to do with nobody being able to read the others actions; and the Balkans being of material interest of various powers.
Eg nobody could really work out what the real politik reaction of Tsarist Russia would be because it's insular and insane. Ditto the Kaiser, Austro-Hungary, Serbia etc. It was a very different kind of time in terms of transparency but the UK, France and eventually the USA were easier to read and predict because they were democracies of a kind. Though the insular state of decision making in Germany in particular made them underestimate the seriousness of Britain and Frances words.
But also various people misunderstood how seriously Russia in particular took the situation in Serbia more seriously than other people expected. They thought it'd be like the Tangier Crisis again where the system had worked.
Anyhow. The great powers (the nuclear and security council) do not see their interests in Iran or Israel. China and the USA are rapidly either decabornising or getty oil elsewhere. The petrochemical shock of splitting the world already happened in Ukraine. Iranian oil isn't such a big factor. Israel has rapidly burnt out any Western democratic support. Government's may still be notionally attached to Israel but they are mostly pissed off with Netennahyu.
If it comes to it they'll let it just boil on like the Iran Iraq war. Nobody is going to the death in support of either side. It'll be a tragedy but noone is risking deaths of their own soldiers or citizens over this.
Russia, due to its massive nuclear arsenal, is just inherently dangerous. Putin having a stroke could so destabilise the situation nobody can predict the outcome. The Russian team economy collapsing and bread riots could do the same thing. Basically Putin's Russia is the dangerous unpredictable wildcard that nobody knows the outcome of.
Also kind of the USA if Trump wins. Maybe. There's more institutional checks in the way there. Than Russia anyhow.
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Post by simple on Oct 28, 2024 19:33:25 GMT
They really aren’t interested in winning hearts, minds or broader international support, are they?
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Blue_Mike
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Meet Hanako At Embers
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Member is Online
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Post by Blue_Mike on Oct 30, 2024 11:48:07 GMT
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cubby
Full Member
doesn't get subtext
Posts: 6,394
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Post by cubby on Oct 30, 2024 12:15:42 GMT
That system of doubling interest has surely led to loads of others getting impossible to pay fines. What a silly bunch.
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apollo
Junior Member
Posts: 1,731
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Post by apollo on Nov 2, 2024 8:25:54 GMT
Photos of the biggest weapon in Putin's ARSEnal
to quote few of the comments: That chair is the hardest fighter in all of Russia
Probably put up the most resistance to an oppressive force in Russia to date.
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Post by Whizzo on Nov 3, 2024 14:36:53 GMT
He's clearly using Bibendum style body armour.
Or he's got rather overweight.
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Post by Jambowayoh on Nov 3, 2024 14:41:20 GMT
Why not both?
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Post by simple on Nov 3, 2024 22:23:42 GMT
Wild scenes in Spain with people throwing mud at the king and queen while chanting murderer at him.
The destruction is unreal.
And this could be the new normal, half of Europe on fire all summer then underwater over winter.
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Post by Dougs on Nov 3, 2024 22:24:59 GMT
This had all kind of passed me by, was just catching up now (lovely bedtime reading). Absolutely horrific.
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Post by skalpadda on Nov 3, 2024 23:32:13 GMT
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Post by JuniorFE on Nov 4, 2024 0:46:14 GMT
The trend is good, now let's hope the US gives the knockout punch (for this round, at least) on Tuesday
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Post by skalpadda on Nov 4, 2024 13:10:47 GMT
The trend is good, now let's hope the US gives the knockout punch (for this round, at least) on Tuesday That would make it a lovely week.
Still some pretty big issues around, of course. Apart from Ukraine, Georgia is probably screwed, sadly. And we still have Orbán being a ghastly cunt, and can't do much as long as Slovakia is backing Hungary. At this point the rest of the EU politicians should just corner him and kick the shit out of him the next time he visits Brussels. No EU rules about that, and...
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