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Post by Dougs on Jan 14, 2024 22:44:31 GMT
And that its Reform's fault.
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Post by Danno on Jan 14, 2024 22:56:31 GMT
Brb joining the Reform party
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geefe
Full Member
Short for Zangief
Posts: 8,323
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Post by geefe on Jan 15, 2024 8:44:59 GMT
If I'm facing something absolutely shite, I'd just get it over with, personally.
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Post by dfunked on Jan 15, 2024 9:03:46 GMT
Yep. Just rip the plaster off already, Rishi. You big fanny.
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cubby
Full Member
doesn't get subtext
Posts: 6,394
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Post by cubby on Jan 15, 2024 9:13:05 GMT
What, and give up control?? That's months more he has to funnel money to all his mates.
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Ulythium
Full Member
Lily-livered
Posts: 7,130
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Post by Ulythium on Jan 15, 2024 9:25:51 GMT
What Cubby said - Sunak's not going to take his hand out of the cookie jar until the lid slams shut.
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Post by TheSaint on Jan 15, 2024 10:42:00 GMT
That Telegraph poll was clearly deliberately engineered by Frost and some unknown Tories to try and persuade Sunak to toughen up the Rwanda bill.
I wouldn't read too much into it.
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Post by Dougs on Jan 15, 2024 10:46:24 GMT
That may be true. But if so, it shows yet more spectacular poor politics. Even if they manage to make the policy even more insane and get it off the ground, the majority of voters don't care enough. There are bigger things on their minds.
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Bongo Heracles
Junior Member
Technically illegal to ride on public land
Posts: 4,656
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Post by Bongo Heracles on Jan 15, 2024 10:52:25 GMT
Its so weird. A late election is clearly a gamble that interest rates will come down and the tax bribes make enough difference for people to feel them, things we actually care about about and affect our lives but they also seem determined to waste yet more time and money on this shit.
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Post by Vandelay on Jan 15, 2024 10:59:28 GMT
Just seen that someone from YouGov has tweeted to say that the statement that if Reform didn't stand then Labour wouldn't have a majority comes from the Telegraph and is not the findings of YouGov's poll. Telegraph seem to have taken all Reform voters and added them to the Tory pot, but YouGov's own polling has found that only about 31% of those voting Reform would switch back to Conservatives if they weren't an option.
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Post by DJCopa on Jan 15, 2024 11:04:52 GMT
There's only way to find out - VOTE!
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minimatt
Junior Member
hyper mediocrity
Posts: 1,691
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Post by minimatt on Jan 15, 2024 11:21:23 GMT
i guess two things are at play -
(1) tory's hope that things will get better, ignoring the possibility - likelihood - that things could get worse and (2) the long term interests of the tory party (rip off the plaster, get it over and done with sooner, leave labour holding another year of worsening outlook, blame them for it, win back at next elex) is contrary to individual MPs and the PM's interests (ie. eleven months of power, grift, and helicopter rides is better than three months of power, grift, and helicopter rides) - and the power to call that election is entirely within the hands of the PM
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Post by technoish on Jan 15, 2024 11:45:37 GMT
Dude's a billionaire, I don't think there is that much grift for peanut expenses.
I think the wait is going to backfire. Things will get worse. I inflation will go up again from middle East turmoil. Looking forward to remortgaging in August, not.
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Post by Vandelay on Jan 15, 2024 11:46:59 GMT
i guess two things are at play - (1) tory's hope that things will get better, ignoring the possibility - likelihood - that things could get worse I feel the suggestion that things will get worse for them is wishful thinking. Polling has basically not moved in ages, with Labour being around 15 to 20-points ahead for seemingly forever now. No matter how deranged or incompetent the incumbents have been, that base level of about 25-30% has stuck with the Cons and I can't see anything budging them (if anything, when an election comes nearer, I fully expect polls to narrow, almost no matter what the situation is, as the shy Tories return). Even if they deserve to be third or even fourth biggest party, they are already at their rock bottom.
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Post by manfromdelmonte on Jan 15, 2024 12:15:30 GMT
If they get a kicking in the locals in May, I can't see how there won't be a serious attempt to oust Sunak. Which itself will worsen the fiscal outlook for the country.
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minimatt
Junior Member
hyper mediocrity
Posts: 1,691
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Post by minimatt on Jan 15, 2024 12:26:35 GMT
agree they're probably polling at the bottom of their range at mo, but that's born of my innate pessimism, parties can and do go extinct, there is nothing particularly special about the tories, and economics and austerity effects are only going to get worse this year
re regicide i can see a significant bunch trying to oust sunak, what i can't see is who would want to take the job knowing they'd be pasted at the election, rather I think most of them are angling to become leader of the opposition after the election and into the following one
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Post by GigaChad Sigma. on Jan 15, 2024 12:31:37 GMT
Be interested to see the accuracy of polling, post Brexit I have limited faith in the accuracy.
Politics is now so toxic that it's likely swelled the shy Tory ranks.
Though I now expect a Labour win I don't know if it will be the landslide expected.
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Post by clemfandango on Jan 15, 2024 12:43:15 GMT
agree they're probably polling at the bottom of their range at mo, but that's born of my innate pessimism, parties can and do go extinct, there is nothing particularly special about the tories, and economics and austerity effects are only going to get worse this year re regicide i can see a significant bunch trying to oust sunak, what i can't see is who would want to take the job knowing they'd be pasted at the election, rather I think most of them are angling to become leader of the opposition after the election and into the following one Johnson might like one last dance….
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Post by Dougs on Jan 15, 2024 12:44:52 GMT
Agree Matt. All about the aftermath I think. Maybe if there is a challenge, enough will support a vote of no confidence so there's an election sooner. Wishful thinking perhaps.
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minimatt
Junior Member
hyper mediocrity
Posts: 1,691
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Post by minimatt on Jan 15, 2024 12:45:37 GMT
i wonder who the shy tories are now tho? in the past a big chunk were already comfortable people voting in their own interests at the expense of those less fortunate, and realising that's not something to shout about - tory economic competence having fucked every income bracket except the ultra rich I'm not sure that vote base exist any more - they'd never vote for a corbyn but they'll vote for a tonty blair-alike
suppose the other shy tories were those who liked everything just as it was in the 1950s but used to be hesitant to say it - i don't think they're so hesitant any more, not so much shy as spittle flecked screaming their politics at every rainbow flag they see
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apollo
Junior Member
Posts: 1,731
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Post by apollo on Jan 15, 2024 13:56:29 GMT
GMB had a bit about the tories going to suffer the biggest loss since 1997. Tories reckon they will turn this around in some statement but sure they know they are fucked
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geefe
Full Member
Short for Zangief
Posts: 8,323
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Post by geefe on Jan 15, 2024 14:15:31 GMT
And let's not piss about - it was "only" a fucking global recession that got them into power.
Off the back of a hung parliament.
With Nick Leg.
Even Corbyn ran them close against May and fucking nobody liked him. Tories should be pretty concerned that this is them done, as they know it.
The people that went from anywhere between (20-35) and (30-45) in their time, really won't be interested in them.
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mcmonkeyplc
Junior Member
General Martok Qapla!
Posts: 3,091
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Post by mcmonkeyplc on Jan 15, 2024 18:20:55 GMT
Yeah I don't by that geefe. I'm pretty sure people said never again after 97. 13 years later, again. In a maximum of another 13 years it will happen again. People think the tories change. They might think they've changed, they never actually changed.
At least new labour didn't lurch gradually and then headlong into far left policies towards their end.
Rescuing the banks was not far left before anyone brings that up. It wasn't nationalising.
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minimatt
Junior Member
hyper mediocrity
Posts: 1,691
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Post by minimatt on Jan 15, 2024 19:17:30 GMT
hahahaha lee anderson (twat, dick, deputy chairman of Tory party, cunt) has confirmed he'll be voting for nutter amendment to already batshit Rwanda bill so he'll be voting against government line and making rishi sad
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patrick
New Member
Ugly bag of mostly water
Posts: 757
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Post by patrick on Jan 15, 2024 20:12:01 GMT
Edit* Checking my sources first
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X201
Full Member
Posts: 5,140
Member is Online
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Post by X201 on Jan 15, 2024 20:31:05 GMT
Lee Anderson Majority 5700
If you were wondering
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Post by technoish on Jan 15, 2024 22:06:28 GMT
I don't know why/how but this post office Mr Bates thing is so immediately affecting and intensely fury invoking.
Within 5 minutes I'm incredibly invested and identifying with all the post masters and harbouring a hatred worse than for a sith lord for any rep from the post office.
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Post by technoish on Jan 15, 2024 22:57:33 GMT
I've actually had to turn it off. Blood is boiling!!!
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Post by TheSaint on Jan 15, 2024 23:01:35 GMT
Couldn’t take any more of those butlins adverts?
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Post by Trowel 🏴 on Jan 15, 2024 23:11:45 GMT
What an amazing piece of research this thread is
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